Learning under Uncertainty: Networks in Crisis Management
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Moynihan , Donald P.
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Working paper
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Abstract
This paper examines the nature of learning in networks
dealing with conditions of high uncertainty. It applies Koppenjan
and Klijns (2004) framework for understanding network uncertainty
to an extreme example: an inter-organizational crisis task force
dealing with an exotic animal disease. The paper identifies the
basic difficulties involved in learning under crisis conditions. The
task force had to learn most of the elements taken for granted in
more mature structural forms the nature of the structural
framework in which it was working, how to adapt that framework, the
role and actions appropriate for each individual, and how to deal
with unanticipated problems. The network pursued this learning in a
variety of ways. Most critically, the task force used standard
operating procedures to provide a form of network memory, and a
command and control structure to reduce institutional and strategic
uncertainty.